比特幣(BTC)一直面臨52,000美元附近的強勁阻力，增加了短期回檔的可能性。 據包括 BitMEX Research 在內的多個消息來源稱，2 月 21 日，橫向走勢導致現貨比特幣交易所交易基金 (ETF) 淨流出約 3,600 萬美元。 然而，出血在 2 月 22 日停止，當天 ETF 淨流入約 2.51 億美元。
一些分析師認為，市場已做好在四月減半前回檔的準備。 知名交易員兼分析師 Rekt Capital 表示，比特幣目前的牛市階段與 2016 年和 2020 年的多頭階段類似。 如果歷史重演，「減半前的回撤」和「減半後的重新累積期」是可能的。
每日加密貨幣市場表現。 來源： Coin360
比特幣對持續上漲的猶豫引發了部分山寨幣的獲利盤。 修正階段對於市場的長期健康是積極的，因為它可以擺脫弱勢者，並允許強勢者在較低水平上加倉。
比特幣和山寨幣下跌時需要注意的關鍵支撐位是什麼？ 讓我們分析一下前 10 名加密貨幣的圖表來找出答案。
比特幣價格分析
比特幣 11 月 21 日燭臺上的長尾顯示，多頭在 50,625 美元的直接支撐位逢低買入，但無法突破 52,000 美元的障礙。
BTC/USDT 日線圖。 來源： TradingView
空頭將再次試圖將價格拉至 50,625 美元以下。 如果他們能夠成功，BTC/USDT 貨幣對可能會跌至 48,970 美元的強勁支撐位。 從該水平反彈將表明市場情緒仍然看漲，交易者正在逢低買入。 突破 52,000 美元後，上漲趨勢將恢復。 然後兩人的價格可能會達到 6 萬美元。
然而，空頭可能還有其他計劃。 他們將努力將價格拉低至 48,970 美元以下。 如果他們這樣做，拋售可能會加劇，貨幣對可能會暴跌至 50 日移動平均線（45,247 美元）。
以太幣價格分析
2 月 22 日，以太幣 (ETH) 試圖突破 3,000 美元的心理阻力位，但空頭堅守陣地。
ETH/USDT 日線圖。 來源： TradingView
賣家正試圖開始向 2,717 美元的突破水準進行修正。 這是一個值得關注的重要水平，因為 20 日均線（2,734 美元）就在附近。 如果價格從 2,717 美元強力反彈，則表示多頭已將該水平轉變為支撐位。 隨後多頭將再次嘗試突破 3,000 美元的關卡。 如果他們成功，ETH/USDT 貨幣對可能會達到 3,300 美元。
空頭必須將價格拉低並維持在 2,717 美元以下，以削弱多頭的力量。 隨後該貨幣對可能會跌至 50 日移動平均線（2,497 美元）。 如此深度的下跌可能會推遲下一階段上升趨勢的開始。
BNB price analysis
BNB (BNB) resumed its uptrend after breaking above the $367 resistance on Feb. 21. The next target objective on the upside is $400.
BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bears will try to stall the up move at $400, but if the bulls do not give up much ground from the level, it will indicate that every minor dip is being bought. That will improve the prospects of a rally to $460.
The first support on the downside is $368, and then the 20-day EMA ($344). If the supports fail to hold, the correction could reach the 50-day SMA ($318). This is an essential level for the bulls to defend because a break below it will signal a trend change.
Solana price analysis
Solana (SOL) bounced off the 50-day SMA ($99) on Feb. 21, but the bulls could not push the price above the 20-day EMA ($105).
SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bears will try to strengthen their position by pulling the price below the 50-day SMA. If they do that, the SOL/USDT pair could descend to $93 and then to $80. This level is likely to attract aggressive buying by the bulls.
On the upside, the bulls will have to overcome the barrier at the downtrend line to signal that the correction may be over. The pair could then attempt a rally to $126, where the bears are likely to mount a strong defense.
XRP price analysis
XRP (XRP) formed an inside-day candlestick pattern on Feb. 22, indicating indecision between the buyers and sellers. This uncertainty resolved to the downside on Feb. 23, suggesting that the bears had overpowered the bulls.
XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bears will try to sink the pair to the strong support zone between $0.48 and $0.46. A strong rebound of this zone suggests that the XRP/USDT pair remains range-bound between $0.46 and $0.57 for a few days.
The bulls will have to shove the price above $0.57 to indicate the start of a new up move. The pair will then attempt a rally to $0.67 and subsequently to the formidable resistance at $0.74.
Cardano price analysis
Cardano (ADA) is trying to take support at the 20-day EMA ($0.57), but the bears have not given up and are maintaining the selling pressure.
ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
If the bears prevail, the ADA/USDT pair could skid to the 50-day SMA ($0.53). This is an important level for the bulls to defend because if this level gives way, the pair could plummet to the vital support at $0.46.
On the contrary, if the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA with strength, it will suggest that the sentiment remains positive and traders are buying on dips. The bulls will then try to overcome the resistance zone between $0.64 and $0.68.
Avalanche price analysis
Avalanche (AVAX) tried to start a recovery on Feb. 22, but the bears fiercely defended the 20-day EMA ($37.90). This suggests that recoveries are being sold into.
AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bears continued selling on Feb. 23 and pulled the price below the 50-day SMA ($35.96). The AVAX/USDT pair could drop to the solid support at $32. A solid bounce off this level will suggest that the pair may oscillate between $32 and $42 for a while.
Contrarily, if the price turns up from the current level and rises above the 20-day EMA, it will suggest strong buying at lower levels. The bulls will then attempt to drive the price above $42 and complete the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern.
Related: Here’s what happened in crypto today
Dogecoin price analysis
The bulls are trying to maintain Dogecoin (DOGE) above the symmetrical triangle, while the bears are trying to pull the price back below it.
DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
If the price rebounds off the current level, the bulls will try to propel the DOGE/USDT pair above the $0.09 resistance. If they succeed, the pair could start an uptrend toward the $0.10 to $0.11 resistance zone.
This positive view will be invalidated in the near term if the price turns down and plummets below the 50-day SMA ($0.08). The pair could then slump to the uptrend line. A break below this level will tilt the advantage in favor of the bears.
Chainlink price analysis
Chainlink (LINK) has pulled back in an uptrend. The bears are trying to drag the price to the breakout level of $17.32.
LINK/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
If the price rebounds off $17.32 with strength and rises above the 20-day EMA ($18.67), it will suggest that the bulls have flipped the level into support. That will increase the likelihood of a retest of $20.85.
The critical support to watch on the downside is the 50-day SMA ($16.65). If this level cracks, it will indicate that the bulls have given up. That may start a deeper correction to $15 and later to $12.85.
Polkadot price analysis
The bulls are trying to keep Polkadot (DOT) inside the ascending channel pattern, while the bears are striving to pull the price below it.
DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The flattish 20-day EMA ($7.41) and the RSI near the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears. If the price breaks below the 50-day SMA ($7.17), the DOT/USDT pair could slide to $6.50.
On the other hand, a strong bounce off the current level will indicate that the bulls are fiercely defending the support line. That may keep the price inside the channel for some more time. The bulls will try to push the pair to the channel’s resistance line.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
